Storm Prediction Center Forecast


RSS Mesoscale Discussions from Storm Prediction Center

SPC - No watches are valid as of Tue Oct 16 01:04:02 UTC 2018

No watches are valid as of Tue Oct 16 01:04:02 UTC 2018.


SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Tue Oct 16 01:04:02 UTC 2018

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Oct 16 01:04:02 UTC 2018.


SPC Oct 16, 2018 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
      
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

Valid 160100Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A PORTION
OF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES...

...SUMMARY...
An isolated storm or two with gusty winds remains possible through
mid evening over a portion of the Middle Atlantic into the coastal
Northeast.

...Middle Atlantic through the coastal Northeast...

Evening RAOB data show very little instability (MLCAPE below 100
J/kg) with northward extent into Northeast States. Frontogenetic
forcing will increase this evening over the Northeast U.S. along the
advancing cold front as a surface low deepens over southeast Canada
in response to ascent within exit region of a progressive upper jet.
Have maintained a small Marginal Risk Category for the possibility a
narrow, low-topped convective line capable of a few strong wind
gusts where the best overlap of frontal forcing and weak instability
is expected.

..Dial.. 10/16/2018

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